GBPUSD at major short-term support

Trading 10 mar 2020 Commentaire »

GBPUSD as expected has pulled back towards the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the entire move higher from 1.2775 to 1.32. Support is critical for the short-term at 1.29 and at I expect at least a bounce from current levels.

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The RSI is approaching oversold levels and GBPUSD is at a crucial point. There are many chances of a bounce or a full scale upward reversal from the current price area. The most important thing for bulls is not to break below 1.2775. Next Fibonacci support is at 1.2827. Bulls want to see price form a higher low and then a new upward move.The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

EURUSD confirms short-term reversal signal and moves below 1.13

Trading 10 mar 2020 Commentaire »

EURUSD as we explained in our last analysis has most probably topped and is looking for a healthy pull back towards 1.1230-1.1135. Our first target is getting very close as price is now trading around 1.1280.

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Red lines -wedge pattern (broken)

The RSI in the Daily chart has just started turning lower. I do not expect at this point the RSI to fall to oversold levels but I expect a pull back and a try for a new high both in EURUSD and in the RSI. My most probable target area for this pull back is at the upper wedge boundary where we could see a back test of the break out area at 1.1160.

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Japanese Yen Extends Drop On Stimulus Hopes

Trading 10 mar 2020 Commentaire »

The Japanese yen extended decline against its major trading partners in the European session on Tuesday, as hopes for coordinated policy actions from central banks around the world helped ease worries about the economic impact of the coronavirus outbreak.

European stocks rose sharply following U.S. President Donald Trump's announcement that the administration is considering "major" steps to protect the economy from possible damage due to the outbreak.

Trump said that he would hold a meeting with Senate and House Republicans to discuss a payroll tax cut and "very substantial relief" for industries that have been hit by the virus.

Trump has scheduled a news conference later today, when he will outline economic stimulus plans in response to the virus.

The Japanese government approved a financial aid package worth 1.1 trillion yen ($10.7 billion) for small and medium-sized enterprises which need financing over the next two to three weeks.

Data from the Bank of Japan showed that Japan M2 money stock rose 3.0 percent on year in February - coming in at 1,039.8 trillion yen.

That follows the 2.8 percent increase in January.

The yen fell to a 4-day low of 105.22 against the greenback, after rising to 102.00 at 6:00 pm ET. The yen may locate support around the 108.00 level.

The yen was down at a 4-day low of 119.35 against the euro, reversing from a high of 116.81 seen at 6:00 pm ET. The yen is likely to challenge support around the 120.00 mark.

Data from Eurostat showed that the euro area economy expanded at a slower pace as initially estimated at the end of 2019 driven by weaker consumption and exports.

Gross domestic product in the 19-nation bloc grew only 0.1 percent sequentially in the fourth quarter, following third quarter's 0.3 percent expansion.

After climbing to 110.15 at 6:00 pm ET, the yen turned negative, touching a 4-day low of 112.47 versus the franc. The next immediate support for the yen is seen around the 114.00 level.

The yen was lower at a 4-day low of 137.21 versus the pound, down from a high of 133.71 it recorded at 6:00 pm ET. If the yen slides further, 140.00 is likely seen as its next support level.

Data from the British Retail Consortium and KPMG showed that UK like-for-like retail sales declined in February despite rising consumer confidence.

Like-for-like sales fell 0.4 percent annually in February, confounding expectations for an increase of 0.4 percent.

The Japanese currency reached as low as 68.99 against the aussie, pulling back from a high of 67.23 it set at 6:00 pm ET. The yen is seen finding support around the 71.00 region.

Survey data from the National Australia Bank showed that Australia business confidence and conditions weakened in February, although it appears too early to fully quantify the effect of the Coronavirus.

The business conditions index fell two points to zero in February, led by a decline in profitability and small decline in trading conditions.

The yen fell to its lowest since November 2016 against the loonie, at 77.14, in the previous session and has stabilized thereafter. The pair had ended Monday's deals at 74.70.

The yen dipped to a multi-year low of 66.37 against the kiwi, following an advance to 64.69 at 6:00 pm ET. Further decline in the currency is likely to see support around the 68.00 level.

Data from Statistics New Zealand showed that the volume of manufacturing activity in New Zealand was up a seasonally adjusted 2.7 percent on quarter in the fourth quarter of 2019 - following the flat September quarter.

The main industry movements were meat and dairy products, up 7.9 percent; petroleum and coal products, up 12 percent; and transport equipment, machinery and equipment, up 3.9 percent.


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*Yen Extends Drop To 68.99 Against Australian Dollar

Trading 10 mar 2020 Commentaire »

Yen Extends Drop To 68.99 Against Australian Dollar


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*Yen Extends Slide To Over 7-yr Low Of 66.37 Against NZ Dollar

Trading 10 mar 2020 Commentaire »

Yen Extends Slide To Over 7-yr Low Of 66.37 Against NZ Dollar


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*Yen Extends Decline To 4-day Low Of 137.21 Versus Pound

Trading 10 mar 2020 Commentaire »

Yen Extends Decline To 4-day Low Of 137.21 Versus Pound


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*Yen Extends Fall To 4-day Low Of 119.35 Against Euro

Trading 10 mar 2020 Commentaire »

Yen Extends Fall To 4-day Low Of 119.35 Against Euro


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*Yen Extends Drop To 4-day Low Of 112.47 Versus Franc

Trading 10 mar 2020 Commentaire »

Yen Extends Drop To 4-day Low Of 112.47 Versus Franc


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South African Rand Rises To 4-day High Against U.S. Dollar

Trading 10 mar 2020 Commentaire »

The South African Rand moved up against the U.S. dollar in the European session on Tuesday, amid expectations that governments will announce stimulus measures to combat the global coronavirus outbreak.

U.S. President Donald Trump's economic stimulus plan also eased some of the worries about the growth outlook.

Trump said he will meet with Senate and House Republicans later today to discuss a possible payroll tax cut or "substantial relief" to offset the economic impact of the coronavirus outbreak.

The South African Rand hit a 4-day high of 15.75 against the greenback, from Monday's closing value of 16.08. Next key resistance for the South African Rand is seen around the 14.00 level.


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Germany's Labor Cost Growth Fastest In 7 Years

Trading 10 mar 2020 Commentaire »

Germany's labor cost grew at the fastest pace in seven years in 2019, data from Destatis revealed Tuesday.

In 2019, hourly labor cost grew 3 percent versus 2.4 percent rise in 2018. This was the fastest rise since 2012, when cost was up 3.1 percent.

The costs of gross earnings increased 2.9 percent and non-wage costs were up 3.2 percent.

However, hourly labor cost increased 3 percent on a yearly basis in the fourth quarter, slightly slower than the 3.1 percent rise in the third quarter.

Gross earnings gained 2.7 percent and non-wage costs advanced 4.2 percent.

On a quarterly basis, hourly labor cost remained flat after rising 1 percent.


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